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MOWI:EURONEXT OSLOMowi ASA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

NOK 202.60

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mowi ASA trades at NOK 202.6, sitting below its 20‑day (200.33), 50‑day (210.22) and 200‑day (218.25) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI of 48.6 places the stock in a neutral zone, while the MACD line has crossed above its signal (‑3.12 vs ‑4.23), offering a modest bullish hint. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price move, but the 30‑day volatility of 22.6 % and a recent max drawdown of 21 % underscore heightened price swings. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 90.66, suggesting market optimism may be overstretched relative to the technical backdrop. Support at NOK 191 and resistance near NOK 207.2 frame the near‑term trading range, with the current price comfortably above support yet shy of the next resistance. Overall, the technical picture is mixed: bullish MACD against a broader bearish trend and elevated sentiment.
On the fundamentals side, Mowi delivers 14 % revenue growth, a solid 46.7 % gross margin and a 14.5 % operating margin, reflecting efficient operations. The trailing PE of 11.6 and forward PE of 11.7 are well below industry averages, while analysts’ median target of NOK 238.5 implies roughly 17 % upside. A dividend yield of 3.34 % with a modest 32.8 % payout ratio and positive free cash flow points to a sustainable income stream. Debt remains high (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 75 %) but the company’s ROE of 19.5 % and strong cash generation mitigate solvency concerns. Given the attractive valuation, reliable dividend and resilient earnings, the stock appears undervalued and suited for a blend of growth and value investors. Risk considerations include modest beta, sector stability, and regulatory exposure typical of aquaculture, which together suggest a balanced risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • Increasing volume but elevated volatility
  • Support level provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation with 17% upside potential
  • Strong earnings growth and margins
  • Sustainable dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue growth and cash generation
  • Robust ROE and moderate payout ratio
  • Resilient demand for salmon products

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.10%
Profit Margin14.33%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE19.49%
ROA5.46%
Debt/Equity75.01
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowNOK859.7M
Free Cash FlowNOK110.7M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.6
SupportNOK 191.00
ResistanceNOK 207.20
MA 20NOK 200.33
MA 50NOK 210.22
MA 200NOK 218.25
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.66

Valuation

Target PriceNOK 237.23
Upside/Downside17.10%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.34%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility22.64%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.